I said back in May that, based on my theory of legacy (both political parties always nominate the candidate with the strongest claim of legacy to the nomination) that Hilary would win the Dems crown (duh) but that John McCain would win the GOP title. McCain was cheated of the nomination by Rovian dirty tricks in 2000. Meanwhile the closest claim to legacy the rest of the field has is as second kissing cousins to the ghost of Ronald Reagan. Of course, right after I wrote this McCain’s candidacy seemingly tanked in the summer of his political discontent. And most wrote off the man from Arizona.
But since then the Thompson phenomenon has come—and largely gone. Fred Thompson’s campaign fell victim to a writers’ strike long before Monday’s strike officially began. It turned out that, after months of hype and hoopla, plain ‘ol Freddy has just not really had anything to say. Meanwhile even thoughts of a Giuliani candidacy has the religious right already talking rophylacticly (come on, religious right, shouldn’t you practice safe politics rather than rely on prophylactics? I mean, be consistent.) about running a true conservative independent candidate should his Rudster get the nod.
That leaves Romney as the only other real alternative to McCain, and I don’t think he’s got the legs to make the distance. And McCain may well prove to be the real come back kid of 2008. Read E.J. Dione’s piece on the resurgent McCain campaign in the Washington Post.
So I’m going double down on the McCain bet. And, just for fun, I’m calling the 2008 race as being between a Clinton/Clark Democratic ticket versus McCain/Huckabee.
How’s that for going out on the prophetic limb?